Lobby
US Politics
Lobby Cap
16,074,560
62%Transactions
167,605
Markets
564
Shown: 8 of 564
Stats
Overall Sentiment
42%
58%
Bullish
Bearish
Volume
16,074,560
Transactions Amount
0
Open Interest
16,814,113
Active Users
69,635
Events
8
Market Providers
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Stats
Overall Sentiment
42%
58%
Bullish
Bearish
Volume
16,074,560
Transactions Amount
0
Open Interest
16,814,113
Active Users
69,635
Events
8
Market Providers
Will the Republican Party win the WA-09 House seat?
$2,814.90
on
NO
$0.96
P
Polymarket
NO
13m ago
Will the Republican Party win the WA-09 House seat?
$2,814.90
on
NO
$0.96
Will Republicans win the House in 2026?
$1,500.00
on
YES
$0.15
K
Kalshi
YES
1h ago
Will Republicans win the House in 2026?
$1,500.00
on
YES
$0.15
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$2,510.00
on
NO
$0.98
P
Polymarket
NO
1h ago
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$2,510.00
on
NO
$0.98
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$2,300.00
on
NO
$0.99
P
Polymarket
NO
1h ago
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$2,300.00
on
NO
$0.99
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$1,274.00
on
NO
$1.00
P
Polymarket
NO
4h ago
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$1,274.00
on
NO
$1.00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$1,440.00
on
YES
$0.12
P
Polymarket
YES
5h ago
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$1,440.00
on
YES
$0.12
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$4,387.50
on
NO
$0.98
P
Polymarket
NO
5h ago
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$4,387.50
on
NO
$0.98
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$1,012.00
on
YES
$0.88
P
Polymarket
YES
6h ago
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$1,012.00
on
YES
$0.88
Will Democrats win the House in 2026?
$7,629.65
on
YES
$0.85
K
Kalshi
YES
7h ago
Will Democrats win the House in 2026?
$7,629.65
on
YES
$0.85
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
$1,147.24
on
NO
$0.70
P
Polymarket
NO
7h ago
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
$1,147.24
on
NO
$0.70
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$1,190.31
on
NO
$1.00
P
Polymarket
NO
11h ago
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$1,190.31
on
NO
$1.00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
$2,020.59
on
YES
$0.20
K
Kalshi
YES
12h ago
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
$2,020.59
on
YES
$0.20
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$1,780.00
on
NO
$0.89
P
Polymarket
NO
15h ago
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$1,780.00
on
NO
$0.89
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$1,557.50
on
NO
$0.89
P
Polymarket
NO
15h ago
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$1,557.50
on
NO
$0.89
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$16,102.40
on
NO
$0.88
P
Polymarket
NO
15h ago
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$16,102.40
on
NO
$0.88
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-01 House seat?
$3,287.00
on
NO
$0.95
P
Polymarket
NO
17h ago
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-01 House seat?
$3,287.00
on
NO
$0.95
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$2,912.96
on
YES
$0.02
P
Polymarket
YES
1d ago
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$2,912.96
on
YES
$0.02
Will Republicans win the House in 2026?
$1,292.97
on
NO
$0.85
K
Kalshi
NO
1d ago
Will Republicans win the House in 2026?
$1,292.97
on
NO
$0.85
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$4,533.75
on
NO
$0.98
P
Polymarket
NO
1d ago
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$4,533.75
on
NO
$0.98
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$8,047.65
on
NO
$0.77
P
Polymarket
NO
1d ago
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$8,047.65
on
NO
$0.77
Will the Republican Party win the WA-09 House seat?
$2,814.90
on
NO
$0.96
P
Polymarket
NO
13m ago
Will the Republican Party win the WA-09 House seat?
$2,814.90
on
NO
$0.96
Will Republicans win the House in 2026?
$1,500.00
on
YES
$0.15
K
Kalshi
YES
1h ago
Will Republicans win the House in 2026?
$1,500.00
on
YES
$0.15
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$2,510.00
on
NO
$0.98
P
Polymarket
NO
1h ago
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$2,510.00
on
NO
$0.98
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$2,300.00
on
NO
$0.99
P
Polymarket
NO
1h ago
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$2,300.00
on
NO
$0.99
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$1,274.00
on
NO
$1.00
P
Polymarket
NO
4h ago
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$1,274.00
on
NO
$1.00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$1,440.00
on
YES
$0.12
P
Polymarket
YES
5h ago
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$1,440.00
on
YES
$0.12
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$4,387.50
on
NO
$0.98
P
Polymarket
NO
5h ago
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$4,387.50
on
NO
$0.98
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$1,012.00
on
YES
$0.88
P
Polymarket
YES
6h ago
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$1,012.00
on
YES
$0.88
Will Democrats win the House in 2026?
$7,629.65
on
YES
$0.85
K
Kalshi
YES
7h ago
Will Democrats win the House in 2026?
$7,629.65
on
YES
$0.85
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
$1,147.24
on
NO
$0.70
P
Polymarket
NO
7h ago
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
$1,147.24
on
NO
$0.70
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$1,190.31
on
NO
$1.00
P
Polymarket
NO
11h ago
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$1,190.31
on
NO
$1.00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
$2,020.59
on
YES
$0.20
K
Kalshi
YES
12h ago
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
$2,020.59
on
YES
$0.20
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$1,780.00
on
NO
$0.89
P
Polymarket
NO
15h ago
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$1,780.00
on
NO
$0.89
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$1,557.50
on
NO
$0.89
P
Polymarket
NO
15h ago
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$1,557.50
on
NO
$0.89
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$16,102.40
on
NO
$0.88
P
Polymarket
NO
15h ago
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
$16,102.40
on
NO
$0.88
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-01 House seat?
$3,287.00
on
NO
$0.95
P
Polymarket
NO
17h ago
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-01 House seat?
$3,287.00
on
NO
$0.95
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$2,912.96
on
YES
$0.02
P
Polymarket
YES
1d ago
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$2,912.96
on
YES
$0.02
Will Republicans win the House in 2026?
$1,292.97
on
NO
$0.85
K
Kalshi
NO
1d ago
Will Republicans win the House in 2026?
$1,292.97
on
NO
$0.85
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$4,533.75
on
NO
$0.98
P
Polymarket
NO
1d ago
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$4,533.75
on
NO
$0.98
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$8,047.65
on
NO
$0.77
P
Polymarket
NO
1d ago
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$8,047.65
on
NO
$0.77
The US Politics lobby is the largest on the platform by volume and active users. 563 markets live across Kalshi and Polymarket, with $8.1M in trading volume and $7.7M in open interest — the deepest political prediction market feed available anywhere in one view.
The dominant story right now is the 2026 midterms. Democrats are priced at 86% to win the House on Polymarket — the single highest-volume market on this lobby at $4.5M — and 56% to take the Senate. The "blue tsunami" market (Democrats winning both chambers with large margins) sits at 49%, essentially a coin flip.
Looking further out, the 2028 presidential race is already live: Democrats lead 61% to 39% for the party win, with individual nomination markets open for both sides.
Prices update in real time as news breaks. This is the most active political prediction market feed available in one place.
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