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Lobby

Trump

Lobby Cap

249,931,564

86%

Transactions

1,768

Stats

Overall Sentiment

16%

84%

Bullish

Bearish

Volume

249,931,564

Transactions Amount

0

Open Interest

2,507,495

Active Users

20,698

Events

8

Market Providers

polymarket

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$1,776.08

on

NO

$0.83

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$1,992.00

on

NO

$0.83

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$4,200.00

on

NO

$0.84

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$1,050.00

on

YES

$0.07

Trump out as President before 2027?

$4,038.79

on

NO

$0.90

Trump out as President before 2027?

$62,088.30

on

NO

$0.92

Trump out as President before 2027?

$52,331.92

on

NO

$0.93

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$2,100.00

on

NO

$0.84

NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?

$1,912.51

on

NO

$0.96

NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?

$1,122.55

on

NO

$0.96

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

$3,900.00

on

YES

$0.26

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

$1,121.96

on

NO

$0.98

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$10,000.00

on

NO

$0.84

Trump out as President before 2027?

$7,983.67

on

NO

$0.94

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$9,351.96

on

NO

$0.94

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

$1,650.82

on

NO

$0.92

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$1,066.67

on

YES

$0.16

NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?

$4,347.85

on

NO

$0.96

NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?

$1,334.32

on

NO

$0.91

NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?

$7,335.86

on

NO

$0.92

Trump is the single most-traded topic in prediction market history. Across Kalshi and Polymarket combined, markets tied to Donald Trump — his policies, legal cases, executive orders, and political future — have generated over $2 billion in trading volume since 2024.

The Trump lobby on Predictions.io aggregates every active Trump-related market from Kalshi and Polymarket into one view. That means tariff policy markets, immigration executive orders, 2026 midterm forecasts, cabinet appointments, legal proceedings, and the long-range 2028 presidential race — all priced side by side so you can see where the platforms agree and where they diverge.

Some of the most actively traded Trump markets right now:

  • Trade & tariff policy — will specific tariff rates hold, get rolled back, or escalate?
  • Executive orders — will courts block key actions?
  • 2026 midterms — Republican vs Democrat seat counts in the House and Senate
  • Trump legal markets — case outcomes, appeal timelines, sentencing questions

Prices update in real time. Follow the whales who've been right on Trump markets before, and track cross-platform spreads as they open.

polymarket
123Markets

Trump

The Trump markets are moving. Join the discussion.

SO
soultaker

141d ago

wait is anyone else surprised the impeachment odds are still only 12% with all this chaos going on?? 👀

SO
soultaker

148d ago

wait he literally just said "it's not going to be me" for 2028 but that third term market is still at 15%? 👀