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Global Markets lobby background

Lobby

Global Markets

Lobby Cap

9,811,476

1501%

Transactions

3,325

Stats

Overall Sentiment

28%

72%

Bullish

Bearish

Volume

9,811,476

Transactions Amount

0

Open Interest

87,013,301

Active Users

443

Events

8

Market Providers

kalshimanifoldpolymarket

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?

$1,999.37

on

YES

$0.89

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$1,240.69

on

YES

$0.69

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$1,272.11

on

YES

$0.49

Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?

$2,300.00

on

YES

$0.23

Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?

$8,052.40

on

NO

$0.82

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$1,964.03

on

NO

$0.99

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$5,070.09

on

NO

$1.00

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$3,407.14

on

NO

$0.85

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$2,021.88

on

NO

$0.98

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$3,541.31

on

NO

$1.00

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$3,607.08

on

NO

$1.00

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$1,078.68

on

NO

$1.00

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$1,380.04

on

NO

$1.00

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$1,976.91

on

NO

$0.99

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$3,644.73

on

NO

$0.99

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

$1,043.07

on

NO

$0.99

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

$1,890.61

on

NO

$1.00

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

$1,011.89

on

NO

$1.00

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

$2,040.14

on

NO

$1.00

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

$3,881.46

on

NO

$1.00

The Global Markets lobby tracks prediction market odds on trade policy, tariffs, and international economic decisions — the most directly market-moving political category outside of elections. All markets source from Kalshi and Polymarket.

The biggest markets right now: Will the Supreme Court rule in favour of Trump's tariffs, Will tariffs generate $250B+ in 2025, Will the Court force Trump to refund tariffs, and which countries Trump makes new trade deals with before 2027. The US trade deficit for 2026 is also actively traded with multiple price brackets open.

Trade policy markets move with every court ruling, negotiation announcement, and executive order. This is where macro traders and international business professionals put real money on the outcomes moving global supply chains.

kalshipolymarketmanifold
18Markets

Global Markets

The Global Markets markets are moving. Join the discussion.

MA
martking

137d ago

wait this already happened right? court struck it down friday but the market's still basically 50/50

MA
martking

140d ago

lol those two markets about the supreme court ruling are basically identical but have different odds. easy money if you can arb that