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Economics lobby background

Lobby

Economics

Lobby Cap

3,281,336

71%

Transactions

24,559

Stats

Overall Sentiment

33%

67%

Bullish

Bearish

Volume

3,281,336

Transactions Amount

0

Open Interest

195,708

Active Users

13,524

Events

8

Market Providers

kalshimanifoldpolymarket

Inflation surge in 2026?

$2,213.40

on

NO

$0.87

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?

$1,360.00

on

YES

$0.68

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?

$1,360.00

on

YES

$0.68

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?

$1,360.00

on

YES

$0.68

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?

$1,360.00

on

YES

$0.68

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?

$3,471.97

on

YES

$0.68

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?

$1,595.12

on

YES

$0.68

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?

$1,360.00

on

YES

$0.68

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?

$35,786.85

on

YES

$0.67

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?

$14,463.15

on

YES

$0.67

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?

$1,000.00

on

YES

$0.01

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?

$1,749.71

on

YES

$0.28

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?

$1,048.19

on

NO

$0.71

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?

$2,900.00

on

YES

$0.29

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?

$1,016.74

on

YES

$0.29

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?

$4,864.85

on

YES

$0.72

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?

$1,583.70

on

NO

$0.77

Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?

$2,565.97

on

NO

$0.86

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?

$1,304.03

on

YES

$0.71

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?

$3,972.91

on

YES

$0.71

The Economics lobby tracks real-money forecasts on the US and global economy — Federal Reserve rate decisions, recession probability, inflation milestones, and GDP outcomes — aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket into one feed.

The most active markets right now: Fed decision in April and June — with traders pricing the probability of cuts, pauses, and hikes across the remainder of 2026. The US recession market is also live, with traders betting on whether the economy tips into contraction by end of year. Fed decision markets resolve monthly, giving economics-focused traders a consistent cycle of high-conviction opportunities.

This lobby attracts macro traders, fixed income professionals, and economists who follow Fed communications and economic data releases closely.

manifoldkalshipolymarket
60Markets

Economics

The Economics markets are moving. Join the discussion.

MA
martking

137d ago

lol 89% for june cut after they just held steady again? seems like easy money

MA
martking

140d ago

honestly 45% feels way too low. ai is already changing everything and we got 2 more years for it to get even crazier