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Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?

$95,431 volume on Manifold
manifold
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?
69.0%$0.69
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Selected BetConditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?
M
Trading via Manifold
Market Volume$95.4K
Yes
69.0%
No
31.0%
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