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Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2030?

$81,476 volume on Manifold
manifold
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2030?
39.0%$0.39
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Selected BetConditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2030?
M
Trading via Manifold
Market Volume$81.5K
Yes
39.0%
No
61.0%
Trade
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