Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 97% at any point before 2028?
$10,045 volume on Manifold
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 97% at any point before 2028?
12.5%$0.13
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Selected BetWill Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 97% at any point before 2028?
M
Trading via ManifoldMarket Volume$10.0K
Yes
No