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Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?

$16,721 volume on Manifold
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Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?
4.5%$0.04
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Selected BetWill China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?
M
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Market Volume$16.7K
Yes
4.5%
No
95.5%
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